The Black Swan

One of the central arguments of the book is that people have been using tools from Mediocristan in Extremistan and that's what leads to these Black Swan phenomen, which in turn might have potentially ruinous effects.

on HN, 2020

All said and done I feel like it's made me look at and evaluate a lot more possibilities at all important junctions in my life (if not all junctions).

on HN, 2019

The role of chance in everyday life! It plays a big role!

on HN, 2019

Nevertheless, it behooves us to try to remember that we are susceptible to the "Black Swan effect", the very real tendency to immediately forget that our sacred cows shit the bed.

on HN, 2018

Incerto 5-Book Set (Black Swan and Antifragile included) by Nassim Nicholas Taleb: how to understand and win in life, literally.

on HN, 2022

Fooled by Randomness has lots of good analysis of survivorship bias, trend following and other mistaken pattern matching strategies that are hard wired into us, and blind us to the true nature of events.

on HN, 2017